Vanguard Leak: 42 bps Annual Leak That Even Proxy Portfolios Can’t Plug—Pay Up or Swap Out
The Quiet Spread That Refuses to Close Every basis point matters when the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate sits at 5.25%.…
Year: 2025
Fed’s 4 % Through 2026: Model Giants Dump Stocks for 0-3 mo Bills—Risk-Off in Disguise
The 4 % Anchor Is Already Priced, Just Not in Equities Fed funds futures now quote 3.96 % for December…
Old-Economy Suppliers Pocket AI Cap-Ex Gold: Why 2025’s Cheapest Stocks Still Tag Hidden Orders
Cap-Ex Is Flowing Sideways, Not Upward Wall Street’s AI narrative equates super-scalers with super-cyclicals, yet the real capital expenditure surge…
Growth Gods Stumble as Equal-Weight Index Beats Cap-Weight 4th Month—Value Horde Storms Gates
The Quiet Revolt in Plain Numbers Four consecutive months of outperformance is not a blip; it is a confession. The…
Deere vs. Nvidia: One Sells Picks, One Digs—Guess Which Is Cheaper in 2025
The Narrative Split: Shovels Versus Shovel-Makers Since 2023 the market has treated Deere & Co. as a cyclical afterthought while…
Deere’s Robot Tractors Just Locked 3-Year Order Surge—Wall Street Still Yawns
Fact: A Revenue Pipeline Already Priced for Perfection Deere’s press room confirmed last week that its fully autonomous 8R tractor…
June PCE >3 %? These Funds Just Pushed Chips to the Front Line—Risk/Reward Reset
Sticky PCE, Sticky Minds When the May core PCE print landed at 2.6 % the bond futures barely flinched, yet…
While You Wait for Rate Cuts, $214 B Fund Managers YOLO Into Semis
The Narrative That Refuses to Die Chip demand is cyclical, margins compress, and capex booms end in tears—everyone knows the…
Inside Core One-Tick—How Daily Micro-Dividends Quietly Boost Yields 14 bps While You Sleep
The Invisible Coupon and the Visible Narrative Every night at 11:59 p.m. ET a small credit hits the cash ledger…
Race to Zero Turns Nasty: Brokers Slash Commissions to Negative as ETFs Pay You to Trade
The Commission Chasm Opens Last month a midsize Midwest broker emailed clients a line that would have sounded like a…