JPMorgan: Hidden Dollar Liquidity Keeps 2Y Yield 40 bps Below Fed Funds—Buy Russell 2000 Now?
The Liquidity Mirage: Why the Front End is Mispriced The 2-year Treasury note closed Friday at 4.72 %, roughly 38…
Month: December 2025
Hedge-Fund Secret: Arbitraging CNY-CNH Spread Yields 9% Risk-Free in One Week
The Spread That Refuses to Die Last Tuesday the offshore yuan (CNH) closed 1,060 pips weaker than its onshore sibling…
AMZN, HD, KO Line Up Century Deals After 5% Forever Mania Ignites
Duration Shock Reframes Mega-Cap Risk Premium The 5% forever narrative—10-year Treasury yields pinned above 5% in forward swaps through 2026—has…
10-Yr Spikes Past 4.6%—Pension Titans Dump Long Bonds in 48-Hr Blink
Duration Shock Ripples Through Liability-Driven Portfolios The 10-year Treasury yield vaulted 34 bp in two trading sessions, the fastest such…
China Tariff Pause Window = 91 Days—Here’s the Q3 Demand Curve Traders Fear
The 91-Day Cease-Fire: A Micro-Calendar With Macro Teeth The White House stopwatch on the latest China tariff truce expires on…
Fed Cut Bets Implode at 8 a.m. ⚠️—Bond Yields Torch Tech in 48-Hour Meltdown
Pre-Market Shock: How One CPI Print Reset the Forward Curve At 8:30 a.m. ET the Bureau of Labor Statistics released…
CFO Survey: 62 % See AI Spend “Unsustainable”—But None Will Blink First
The Quiet Spreadsheet Rebellion Inside the June Duke-CFO Global Business Outlook, 212 U.S. chief financial officers admitted what no earnings…
Big Tech’s $285 B AI Tab = 2× U.S. Navy Budget—Audit Fears Ignite DC Tweet-Storm
The Invoice No One Budgeted For When Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and Amazon disclosed a combined $285 billion in trailing-twelve-month cap-ex…
CECL-Lite Arrives: Three Regional Banks Suddenly Trading 1.2× TBV, Value Crowd Asleep
Quiet Accounting Relief, Loud Valuation Gap On 30 May the Federal Reserve formally green-lit a scaled-down version of the Current…
GPU Prices -25 %, IRR Still Sub-10 %—AI CapEx Bubble One ARPU Tick From Implosion
Sticker Shock in the Server Aisle Nvidia’s H100 list price has fallen 25 % since March, yet the internal-rate-of-return models…